CrazyExpat Posted December 28, 2009 Report Share Posted December 28, 2009 Thanks to a surge in tourism arrivals in the last quarter of 2009, the Thai tourism industry is projected to close this year with a total of 14 million arrivals, down just 4% over 2008. In 2010, the forecast is for a 7-10% increase to between 15 million and 15.5 million visitors, "if no serious incidents of political or other threats arise" - a caveat that has now become a fixed part of the tourism forecasters' lexicon. According to a Tourism Authority of Thailand report released last week, the first half of 2008 saw a 16% decline in arrivals, thanks to the impact of the global financial crisis, fears of the H1N1 flu pandemic and the lingering fallout from the eight-day closure of Suvarnabhumi airport in late 2008. Arrivals from Northeast Asia were worst hit (-30%), followed by the American and Oceania markets. The Asean and European markets were not too badly hit and the South Asia and Middle East markets maintained growth rates. Since August 2009, the report says, the situation has been improving steadily. The number of visitor arrivals declined by only 5% in August and then shot up 10% in September, maintaining steady increases in the October-December final quarter. Visitor arrivals at Suvarnabhumi Airport during November and up to mid-December were up 40%. Charter flights to popular destinations such as Phuket and Samui are also up from European and Asian markets.The TAT report attributed the rapid turnaround to five factors: 1. Economic conditions around the world are improving faster than expected, and consumer confidence is returning. 2. The political situation in Thailand is more stable. Although the domestic political situation remains fluid, there have been no "adverse events" dominating TV screens worldwide. 3. Quick action taken by Thai and global authorities to curb spread of the H1N1 virus. 4. Government measures to encourage travel such as visa fee exemptions, reducing landing fees and aircraft parking charges, have given operators reasons to continue promoting Thailand. 5. TAT marketing efforts from July onward to help restore and rebuild confidence in Thailand. These included roadshows, stronger promotional partnerships with the private sector and marketing of special offers and value-for-money deals. To this list could be added the stepped-up efforts by Thai Airways International, the numerous scheduled and low-cost airlines serving Thailand, as well as the aggressive pricing promotions of the private sector. The TAT says that the three main determinants of visitor arrivals in 2010 would be the same as those that influenced arrivals in 2009 - global events such as financial or geopolitical crises, the economic situation in each source-market country, and the political situation in Thailand itself. Assuming no further instability, the TAT has charted the following strategies: - Expanding market penetration to increase market share: Largely due to the stability of the flight situation, the markets targeted for this strategy are Asean, South Asia, France, the UK, the Netherlands, Iran, Kuwait and Jordan. The customer segments will be primarily leisure tourists, especially from Asia where the emphasis will be placed on short-break holidays, value for money and shopping. Niche markets to be pursued will be the health and wellness segment from the Middle East and golfers from Asia. - Maintain existing market share: The main markets in this group are Oceania, Scandinavia, Germany, Russia and Vietnam. The strategy will focus on expanding the quality-visitor segment, especially via stepped-up joint marketing with partners outside the industry such as financial institutions. Travel will also be stimulated during the low-season. - Recover lost market share: The targets in this group include Northeast Asia, America, Singapore and the United Arab Emirates where loss of market share has been "very high" due to the loss of confidence in the safety of Thailand and severe economic contraction in those source-markets. However, with the economic situation looking better, and flights returning to normal, marketing campaigns will be stepped up. For the American market specifically, efforts will be made to take advantage of the networking opportunities among the large number of ethnic Thais living there, greater use of online marketing and expansion of roadshows into new parts of the United States. One lesson learned from the downturn this year has been to maintain a strong emphasis on domestic tourism, which was affected more by the economic situation than political developments, which are old news to Thai people. H1N1 fears only affected domestic travel to Phuket. However, the same signs of recovery are also apparent in domestic tourism, starting from the third quarter of 2009 and gaining steam in the last quarter. The TAT says that clearly apparent signs of returning consumer confidence were further underscored by private-sector promotions, pricing strategies of low-cost airlines, opening of new routes such as Udon Thani-Phuket, marketing of domestic Thai festivals and even the marketing efforts of the State Railway of Thailand. Measures to encourage domestic travel by the government sector such as encouraging meetings to be held within Thailand rather than abroad, more domestic educational trips and expanding the duration of official holidays have also helped. In 2009, domestic travel is estimated at 87 million trips, generating 407.6 billion baht. In 2010, this is projected to rise to 90 million trips, and 430 billion baht. http://www.bangkokpost.com/business/economics/30127/tat-pleasantly-surprised-by-turnaround-but-more-work-lies-ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rucus7 Posted December 28, 2009 Report Share Posted December 28, 2009 It seems as if every week the TAT comes up with different stats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wino Posted December 29, 2009 Report Share Posted December 29, 2009 Stats can be manipulated to serve ones purpose. Good news indeed if tourism is up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patong Posted December 31, 2009 Report Share Posted December 31, 2009 I can tell that here in Patong & surrounding area that the tourist numbers are well down. All the bar, restaurant, and guest house owners are moaning about poor business. Part of the trouble is that so many more building have come on stream these past 12 months that supply has by far outstripped demand, especially with the % decline in visitors this year. Even taking all that into account I see far fewer drinkers on Bangla road, and far fewer big spenders. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lvdkeyes Posted December 31, 2009 Report Share Posted December 31, 2009 So, have the owners raised their prices to compensate for the loss of income? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patong Posted December 31, 2009 Report Share Posted December 31, 2009 So, have the owners raised their prices to compensate for the loss of income? Cynical, very cynical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lvdkeyes Posted December 31, 2009 Report Share Posted December 31, 2009 Cynical or reflecting what usually happens here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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